German Weekend 10/24-10/26

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Write ups for Friday will be added about 2 hours before game time. Here are the plays.

Friday:

2. Bundesliga

Oberhausen - Lübeck: Oberhausen pk @ 1.741
Burghausen - Aue: Under 2.5 @ 2.20

Regionalliga Nord:

Essen- Chemnitz: Essen to win @ 1.667

BOL to all

[This message was edited by chriscol on October 23, 2003 at 08:57 PM.]
 

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Record so far:
Bundesliga: 25-17 +8.654
2. Bundesliga: 6-4 +2.41
Regionalliga: 16-14 +0.632

Total: 47-35 +11.696
pushes recorded as no plays

Write ups for today:

Burghausen under: Aue played 5 of last 6 games under. They keep games close with a solid defense and have not enough fire power to score a lot themselves.Especially in an away game, i expect a defense minded game and therefore an even bigger focus on defense (last 3 away games all ended 1-0 or 0-1)
Burghausen not the typical under team,but definetly no over team. there tactics are always based on solid defense and even with a good home record hey might win, but for sure not big. Very good chance for the under here. only score i can see loosing this bet is a 2-1 home win.

Oberhausen pk: Oberhausen gets slowly back to form from last year. they are unbeaten in last 4 games against tough opponents. they had best home record in league last season and after a 2 home losses to start season getting back to solid home form. Oberhausen is always a tough place to play, especially in night games.
Lübeck got some surprizing resilt so far in away matches, but overall is the weaker team here and not in very good shape at the moment.

Essen to win: Essen a heavy favourite for promotion gets slowly back into contention with 4 home wins in row and 6 wins in l8 overall.
Chemnitz not a very solid team should be overmatched tonight.
 

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good start in the weekend with two winners and a late push in the oberhausen game. let's continue on saturday:

Saturday

1.Bundesliga

Frankfurt - Köln: Köln pk, +0.5 @ 1.96 for !! 2 units !!

i've won with Köln last week and will play on the same story again this week. This is a matchup between two teams coming up from 2.Bundesliga, which will play strictly against relegation. in my opinion Köln is the better overall and will have better chances to stay in league but especially coming into today's match.
after loosin 6 of 7 to start season, they made changes to their defense starting formation and played same system again which was the key to the best defense in 2.Liga last year and a big reason, why they are in 1.Liga this year. result of the change has been a 0-0 away draw at top team Stuttgart (Stuttgart only had two real scoring chances in match) and a 1-0 home win over Freiburg (Freiburg no real scoring chance at all).Defense is really looking solid again. That'S the main reason for that play. in addition they clearly will be the more confident team after recent success and because they are a dangerous team on the counter attack should have good chances to at least draw against Frankfurt, which is 0-1-3 in last 4 games, including 2 home losses. They still have big injury trouble and i simply see them struggeling to get on the board (only 2 goals in L4). Pressure will be completely on Frankfurt. it's a must win for them, but team has not enough potential to play well under this kind of pressure and i expect the home-crowd working even in favor of Köln , if Frankfurt does not score early.

For those who wonder, why i'm not on the under. i think side is simply enough on this game and i'll play a small coin off the record on "Frankfurt no score" @ 3.0
 

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Bayer München - Kaiserslautern: München -1,-1.5 @ 1.862

Bayern is playing good at home lately (also in Bundesliga) and is scoring a lot. Kaiserslautern not a good away record and two really ugly performances in last 2 road games. Bayern should win easily. hope tey also cover 1.5, but chances are good.

Hamburg - Schalke: Hamburg pk, -0.5 @ 1.84
two struggeling teams here. Hamburg sacked coach during week and got now Topmöller (coach that lead Leverkusen to ECL final on thebench first time.
Although struggeling overall Hamburg is still winning home games. new coach and strong home support should give the extra motivation against a Schalke which is coming of a terrible 0-2 home loss to Bochum and is in deep problems.
With Altintop out by injury there is no leader in the the team. they have problems to score, because striker are all on bead streak + they got very few scoring chances + they are slow and vulnurable at defense.
Like my chance with special "new coach" situation very much here.

Stuttgart - Wolfsburg: UNDER 2.5,3 @ 1.852
Simple calculation here: Stuttgart got great defense. only 1 goal conceided so far in league. i also expect to see a little let down by Stuttgart's offense again after ECL win (as i predicted it after ECL winover MU). avarage in Stuttgart games only 2 goals in L4 matches.
summary: Wolfsburg will score a maximum of 1 (probably 0) and Stuttgart willnot cover 3 by itself.
 

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Regionalliga Nord:

Wuppertal - Dortmund: Wuppertal to win @ 2.1
Wuppertal league leader is one of strongest home teams in league (4-1-1) they are coming of good recent results and will be confident of winning here against Dortmund , which cooled off after a surprizing good start in season. Nomore wins in L4 for Dortmund and i dont see them getting one here.

BOL to all
 

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Sunday:

2. bundesliga:
Aachen - Trier : Aachen -0.5 @ 1.75

1. Bundesliag:

Leverkusen - Gladbach: Leverkusen -1.5,-1 @ 1.80
 

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Line is moving in our favor for aachen.

will upgrade

AAchen - Trier: Aachen -0.5 @ 1.83 !! 2 units!!

Adding

Berlin - Bielefeld: Bielefeld pk @ 1.76
 

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